The Kobeissi Letter

Weekly analysis of various securities including equities, crude oil, natural gas, gold, treasuries and options.

Weekly Newsletters

Week of April 14th, 2025

Equity markets broke multiple records to both directions last week in their most volatile week since the pandemic crash in March 2020.
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April 14, 2025

Week of April 7th, 2025

The S&P 500 erased nearly $5 trillion in 2 days as our short targets were met and multiple US indices entered bear market territory.
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April 7, 2025

Week of March 31st, 2025

It's officially "reciprocal tariff week" which we believe is set to be the most volatile week of 2025 so far as the S&P 500 resumes its drop.
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March 31, 2025

Week of March 24th, 2025

The S&P 500 officially ended a four-week losing streak but markets remain on edge ahead of the April 2nd tariff deadline.
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March 24, 2025

Week of March 17th, 2025

The S&P 500 briefly dipped into correction territory, but we believe Friday's relief rally is set to continue in the week ahead.
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March 17, 2025

Week of March 10th, 2025

The Nasdaq 100 officially fell into correction territory as President Trump ramped up tariff threats and unemployment rose to 4.1%.
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March 10, 2025

Week of March 3rd, 2025

In another week full of market moving headlines, dip buyers stepped in on Friday and we expect upward momentum to persist.
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March 3, 2025

Week of February 24th, 2025

Volatility remains the norm, but dips are being bought, and we believe that equity markets will remain resilient heading into March.
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February 24, 2025

Week of February 17th, 2025

Despite hotter than expected CPI and PPI inflation data, the S&P 500 rose nearly 100 points and is set for a new all time high.
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February 17, 2025

Week of February 10th, 2025

Trade war volatility has returned and earnings season ramped up in what is setting up to be a chaotic year in the markets.
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February 10, 2025

Week of February 3rd, 2025

In a busy week, the Fed kept rates unchanged, trade war tensions escalated, and China became a serious competitor in the AI race.
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February 3, 2025

Week of January 27th, 2025

The S&P 500 is back in record high territory as markets prepare for the first Fed meeting of 2025 and a long Fed policy pause.
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January 27, 2025

Week of January 20th, 2025

A weaker than expected core CPI number has revived some hopes over a Fed pivot, leading the S&P 500 back toward 6000.
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January 20, 2025

Week of January 13th, 2025

A strong December jobs report has shifted momentum in equity markets again and interest rate cuts are being priced-out.
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January 13, 2025

Week of January 6th, 2025

Markets ended lower in their first week of 2025 with more volatility coming as the January 29th Fed meeting quickly approaches.
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January 6, 2025

Week of December 30th, 2024

It's officially the final trading week of 2024 in what has been an eventful, exciting, and historic year in the market. Happy New Year!
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December 30, 2024

Week of December 23rd, 2024

Volatility returns as the Fed's outlook for 2025 became less dovish and markets brace for a potential rebound in inflation.
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December 23, 2024

Week of December 16th, 2024

A 25 basis point rate cut is expected to conclude the Fed's final meeting of 2024, but uncertainty remains around future outlook.
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December 16, 2024

Week of December 9th, 2024

The November jobs report has set the stage for a 25 basis point December rate cut and continued all time highs in the S&P 500.
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December 9, 2024

Week of December 2nd, 2024

A shortened trading week did not stop the S&P 500's historic run as it officially posts its 53rd new all time high of 2024.
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December 2, 2024

Week of November 25th, 2024

Dip buyers have already stepped back into the market and we believe new all time highs are ahead for the S&P 500.
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November 25, 2024

Week of November 18th, 2024

The Fed is backtracking yet again on their "Fed pivot" narrative, but we continue to view pullbacks as buying opportunities.
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November 18, 2024

Week of November 11th, 2024

The S&P 500 officially hit our 6,000 target as the election concluded, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points and earnings continued.
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November 11, 2024

Week of November 4th, 2024

It's officially Fed and election week and in this week's Letter we break down how we are navigating a historically busy week.
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November 4, 2024

Week of October 28th, 2024

Earnings season, the Fed, and the 2024 election are all in the spotlight as markets brace for a very busy November.
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October 28, 2024

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