The Kobeissi Letter

Weekly analysis of various securities including equities, crude oil, natural gas, gold, treasuries and options.

Weekly Newsletters

Week of December 23rd, 2024

Volatility returns as the Fed's outlook for 2025 became less dovish and markets brace for a potential rebound in inflation.
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December 23, 2024

Week of December 16th, 2024

A 25 basis point rate cut is expected to conclude the Fed's final meeting of 2024, but uncertainty remains around future outlook.
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December 16, 2024

Week of December 9th, 2024

The November jobs report has set the stage for a 25 basis point December rate cut and continued all time highs in the S&P 500.
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December 9, 2024

Week of December 2nd, 2024

A shortened trading week did not stop the S&P 500's historic run as it officially posts its 53rd new all time high of 2024.
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December 2, 2024

Week of November 25th, 2024

Dip buyers have already stepped back into the market and we believe new all time highs are ahead for the S&P 500.
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November 25, 2024

Week of November 18th, 2024

The Fed is backtracking yet again on their "Fed pivot" narrative, but we continue to view pullbacks as buying opportunities.
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November 18, 2024

Week of November 11th, 2024

The S&P 500 officially hit our 6,000 target as the election concluded, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points and earnings continued.
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November 11, 2024

Week of November 4th, 2024

It's officially Fed and election week and in this week's Letter we break down how we are navigating a historically busy week.
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November 4, 2024

Week of October 28th, 2024

Earnings season, the Fed, and the 2024 election are all in the spotlight as markets brace for a very busy November.
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October 28, 2024

Week of October 21st, 2024

We have officially raised our target on the S&P 500 to 6,000 as the path to the historic level appears to be paved.
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October 21, 2024

Week of October 14th, 2024

Bond markets have priced-out 50 basis points of rate cuts this year, but it doesn't matter as overall risk appetite roars on.
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October 14, 2024

Week of October 7th, 2024

We are now one month out from the election with a variety of fundamental headwinds, but the market remains resilient.
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October 7, 2024

Week of September 30th, 2024

Markets are wrapping up the third quarter with new record highs in equities and tremendous volatility in commodity markets.
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September 30, 2024

Week of September 23rd, 2024

The "Fed pivot" has officially begun with the first 50 basis point interest rate cut since 2008 sending stocks to all time highs.
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September 23, 2024

Week of September 16th, 2024

It's officially Fed week and rate cuts are set to begin for the first time since March 2020 when the global economy was halted.
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September 16, 2024

Week of September 9th, 2024

Volatility is rising due to labor market worries with the September Fed interest rate decision now just 10 days away.
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September 9, 2024

Week of September 2nd, 2024

The S&P 500 is now within striking distance of new all time highs as we continue to raise our target and ride the momentum.
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September 2, 2024

Week of August 26th, 2024

New all time highs are in sight for the S&P 500 which is now up 10% from its August 5th low as risk appetite builds.
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August 26, 2024

Week of August 19th, 2024

In a sudden turn of events, new all time highs are back in the picture and recent recession fears appear to be subsiding.
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August 19, 2024

Week of August 12th, 2024

Markets completed their most volatile weeks since March 2020 with one key takeaway; they are incredibly resilient.
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August 12, 2024

Week of August 5th, 2024

The Nasdaq 100 officially entered correction territory after the July jobs report showed a spike in the unemployment rate.
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August 4, 2024

Week of July 29th, 2024

As we head into the July Fed meeting, volatility is spiking and large cap technology stocks are under pressure.
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July 29, 2024

Week of July 22nd, 2024

The S&P 500 finally saw a pullback after a red hot run and we believe that dips buyers are set to step back in soon.
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July 22, 2024

Week of July 15th, 2024

Markets finally got a cooler than expected CPI inflation report, but rising PPI inflation is keeping the market on edge.
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July 15, 2024

Week of July 8th, 2024

The S&P 500 is nearing our 5600 target as earnings season is set to commence and the July Fed meeting approaches.
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July 8, 2024

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