The Kobeissi Letter

Weekly analysis of various securities including equities, crude oil, natural gas, gold, treasuries and options.

Weekly Newsletters

Week of November 13th, 2023

Risk appetite continues to fluctuate amongst geopolitical tensions, Fed policy, and volatile bond markets.
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November 13, 2023

Week of November 6th, 2023

Bond markets continue to drive broader price action with the drop in treasury yields sending equities higher.
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November 6, 2023

Week of October 30th, 2023

This week we prepare for another Fed meeting, but this time with geopolitical tensions adding another headwind.
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October 30, 2023

Week of October 23rd, 2023

Geopolitical tensions combined with higher interest rates have quickly sparked a spike in volatility.
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October 23, 2023

Week of October 16th, 2023

Geopolitical tensions have surfaced as another major market driver in an already volatile environment.
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October 16, 2023

Week of October 9th, 2023

After another strong jobs report, markets went from deep red to green and it appears to be a dead cat bounce.
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October 9, 2023

Week of October 2nd, 2023

Sentiment has shifted and the trend is fading lower for equities as higher rates are clearly here to stay.
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October 2, 2023

Week of September 25th, 2023

The Fed has paused rate hikes for now, but the path forward is still unclear and volatility is quickly returning.
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September 25, 2023

Week of September 18th, 2023

Another highly anticipated Fed meeting kicks off this week with all eyes on the Fed's guidance into year-end.
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September 18, 2023

Week of September 11th, 2023

Stocks slide in a rather quiet week but focus remains on the Fed, inflation and technology stocks.
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September 11, 2023

Week of September 4th, 2023

Markets have shown their resilience once again as the S&P 500 pushes above 4500 and a Fed pause is being priced-in.
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September 4, 2023

Week of August 28th, 2023

Dip buyers continue to step into the market despite an increasingly hawkish Fed and rising levels of uncertainty.
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August 28, 2023

Week of August 21st, 2023

The S&P 500 marks a three week losing streak and breaks below a key higher low as bears take control of momentum.
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August 21, 2023

Week of August 14th, 2023

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August 14, 2023

Week of August 7th, 2023

Markets lose momentum after Fitch downgrades US long term credit ratings for the first time since 2011.
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August 7, 2023

Week of July 31st, 2023

Despite another Fed interesting rate hike, markets continue to display signs of resiliency as the S&P 500 nears 4600.
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July 31, 2023

Week of July 24th, 2023

Optimism continues to driver equities and commodities higher after of yet another pivotal Fed interest rate decision.
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July 24, 2023

Week of July 17th, 2023

Inflation data and a strong start to earnings season led to another weekly gain in equities, but the technicals are overbought.
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July 17, 2023

Week of July 10th, 2023

Hawkish Fed expectations are rising again, but we believe that these expectations are shifting too far too fast.
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July 10, 2023

Week of July 3rd, 2023

As inflation data trends lower and investor optimism persists, we believe that the path is clear for more upside this week.
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July 3, 2023

Week of June 26th, 2023

Fed expectations have shifted even further in the hawkish direction, but upcoming policy remains highly uncertain.
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June 26, 2023

Week of June 19th, 2023

Markets are pushing into new 52-week high territory but the technical picture is now looking overbought.
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June 19, 2023

Week of June 12th, 2023

Markets are trading near 52-week highs as we brace for an important Fed meeting and inflation data in the week ahead.
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June 12, 2023

Week of June 5th, 2023

Upward momentum resumes in the equity markets as the debt ceiling bill passed and the Fed is in the spotlight.
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June 5, 2023

Week of May 29th, 2023

Despite rising PCE inflation and debt ceiling concerns, markets have shown their resilience time and time again.
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May 29, 2023

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